Ripple's XRP: Analyzing Recent Price Movements and Founder Token Sales

Understanding XRP's Price Trends and Market Dynamics

A recent assessment by crypto analyst Amonyx has sparked discussions on XRP's valuation, suggesting that the digital asset should be trading at over $30 based on a historical Bitcoin ratio from 2018. This calculation stems from a time when XRP briefly reached 0.00026 BTC in 2018, leading to a theoretical value of $30.83 based on Bitcoin's current price. However, as of July 25, 2025, XRP is trading at $3.06, significantly lower than the projected level [1].

Evaluating XRP's Market Evolution and Price Performance

The 2018 XRP/BTC ratio reflects a speculative surge during a period of heightened cryptocurrency market enthusiasm. Back then, XRP's price in Bitcoin briefly touched 0.0002247 BTC, aligning closely with the 0.00026 BTC ratio referenced by Amonyx. While XRP held the position of the third-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, driven by optimism surrounding Ripple's payment solutions, market conditions have since changed. Bitcoin has cemented its role as a global store of value and institutional asset, while XRP remains centered on payment applications with slower institutional adoption rates [1].

Analyzing XRP's Founder Token Sales and Market Impact

Ripple co-founder Chris Larsen's ongoing sale of XRP tokens has come under scrutiny, particularly amidst a recent price correction in the market. Between July 17 and July 25, 2025, Larsen transferred around $140 million worth of XRP to exchanges, coinciding with a 10% decline in XRP's price. Despite holding a substantial amount of XRP tokens, Larsen's selling activity has raised concerns about potential downward pressure on XRP's price. Market observers emphasize the complexity of factors influencing XRP's price trajectory, including regulatory developments, technological advancements, and broader market trends [1].